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Old 01-07-2008, 05:29 AM   #26 (permalink)
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Cool Re: oil prices

Crude oil prices could rise to as high as $170 per barrel in the coming months but are unlikely to hit $200 and should ease towards the end of the year, OPEC President Chakib Khelil said on Thursday, according to Reuters.


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Old 04-07-2008, 05:00 AM   #27 (permalink)
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Cool Re: oil prices

think now over $145/barrel...
comin to $146 liao....

my god....
power....


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Old 06-07-2008, 11:18 PM   #28 (permalink)
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Cool Re: oil prices

OPEC president warns no end to oil price rises

AFP - Monday, July 7

ALGIERS (AFP)


OPEC president Chakib Khelil warned Sunday that oil prices will continue to rise because of the falling dollar, in an interview in the Algeria-News.

"The price of oil will rise again in the coming weeks. We have to follow the evolution of the dollar, because a one percent fall in the dollar means four dollars more on the price of oil," Khelil, who is Algeria's minister of energy and mines, told the independent daily.

"As producer countries we think that the current supply is sufficient, that this balance in supply is in everybody's interests and that it shouldn't be disturbed, because the current rise in oil prices is in nobody's interest," the head of the Organisation of Petroleum Exporting Countries stressed.

He also commented on the geopolitical effects on the price of oil, notably the crisis between Iran and the West over its nuclear programme and rejected the theory that oil cartel members were against boosting production to put a downward pressure on prices.

"I believe that 60 percent of the rise is due to the fall in the exchange rate of the dollar and to geopolitical problems, and 40 percent to the intrusion of bioethanol on the market," he said.

"I can affirm that all the (OPEC) countries are in favour of new explorations (of oil reserves), but the fact is that the embargo imposed by Libya has prevented any increase of investment in that country, just as the current embargo on Iran is stopping anyone investing there," Khelil said.

"The United States is threatening severe economic sanctions against any group which dares invest in Iran. Similarly, the war in Iraq is why investment there is weak. No OPEC country can invest in embargoed countries."


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Old 06-07-2008, 11:55 PM   #29 (permalink)
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Default Re: oil prices

In the near future, one full tank of petrol (for a car) will be equilvalent to one budget air ticket to KL. It's virtually like stuffing your SGD into the fuel tanks. Meat will become so costly that only the middle class can afford to have them during festive seasons or important occasions. One plate of chicken rice may go as high as $10+ in CBD/Town area.(Presently $5 for a bowl of fish ball noodle is considered the cheapest food there) Maybe people will start keeping fowls for own consumption. Many will learn how to fish. Bedok Jetty will be filled with anglers trying to bring a decent fish home to make ends meet. So what are you waiting for? Go buy a fishing rod and learn how to fish for survival. (Joking)

Oh almost forgot..Stock up on the candles.

Last edited by Skerry : 07-07-2008 at 12:02 AM.
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Old 07-07-2008, 02:21 AM   #30 (permalink)
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Cool Re: oil prices

Quote:
Originally Posted by Skerry
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In the near future, one full tank of petrol (for a car) will be equilvalent to one budget air ticket to KL. It's virtually like stuffing your SGD into the fuel tanks. Meat will become so costly that only the middle class can afford to have them during festive seasons or important occasions. One plate of chicken rice may go as high as $10+ in CBD/Town area.(Presently $5 for a bowl of fish ball noodle is considered the cheapest food there) Maybe people will start keeping fowls for own consumption. Many will learn how to fish. Bedok Jetty will be filled with anglers trying to bring a decent fish home to make ends meet. So what are you waiting for? Go buy a fishing rod and learn how to fish for survival. (Joking)

Oh almost forgot..Stock up on the candles.
i marvel at ur talent of turnin a serious thread into a lighter one...

thx...
we need tat in these gloomy times...

muz buy fishin rods n candles liao...
hahahaaaa


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Old 07-07-2008, 07:26 AM   #31 (permalink)
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Default Re: oil prices

kekekeke.Thank you for your compliment bro.

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Old 07-07-2008, 04:01 PM   #32 (permalink)
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Cool Re: oil prices

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Originally Posted by Skerry
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kekekeke.Thank you for your compliment bro.

welcome...

on a serious note, tis yr will surely b in the history records if the oil prices continue to rise uncontrolablly...
everyone HUAT AH....
hahhaaaa...


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Old 10-07-2008, 03:14 AM   #33 (permalink)
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Cool Re: oil prices

G8 pledges action on food, oil

Leaders of the world's top industrial powers ended a summit Wednesday with pledges to act on soaring oil and food prices, but failed to bridge deep differences with poor nations on fighting climate change.

US President George W. Bush hailed his last Group of Eight summit, at which rich nations agreed to at least halve global greenhouse gas emissions by 2050, as "very productive".

"I'm pleased to report that we've had significant success," Bush said before he left the resort venue where the annual summit was held in the mountains of northern Japan.

Emerging nations invited to attend a special summit on tackling global warming however declined to back the G8's much-touted carbon emissions goals, saying they amounted to empty rhetoric.

The global economy, under threat from skyrocketing oil and food prices and also being battered by the subprime mortgage crisis that has infected global financial markets, preoccupied the leaders.

"At the heart of the summit were the triple shocks to the world economy: rising oil prices, rising food prices and the credit crunch," said British Prime Minister Gordon Brown.

The G8 powers -- Britain, Canada, France, Germany, Italy, Japan, Russia and the United States -- account for two-thirds of the world's gross domestic product.

Their leaders said in a joint statement that while global growth had "moderated," they remained positive on the future.

They called for efforts to bring down oil prices, which have jumped five-fold since 2003, as well as the soaring cost of food which has set off riots in parts of the developing world.

"There's a need to improve transparency on the oil market," Japanese Prime Minister Yasuo Fukuda told a news conference.

G8 leaders also called on all countries to end export restrictions on food to allow supplies to be sent to countries that most need them, Fukuda said.

The summit was dominated by discussions on global warming amid growing concern that rising temperatures caused by carbon emissions are threatening entire species of plants and animals.

The rich countries ' club on Tuesday agreed on the need for a global emissions cut of at least 50 percent by 2050, a step praised by G8 leaders as progress after years of hesitation by Bush.

"This, against a 1990 baseline, is a clear step forward. But we must go further," UN Secretary General Ban Ki-moon said.

But Fukuda said he believed the baseline was current levels and developing countries slammed the statement as too weak.

Leaders including Chinese President Hu Jintao and Indian Prime Minister Manmohan Singh tussled with rich nations at a special expanded summit on Wednesday.

The deadlock between rich and developing nations has held up talks on reaching a new climate treaty by the end of 2009 in Copenhagen -- a goal set in December at a UN-backed conference in Bali.

"Climate change is one of the great global challenges of our time," the 16 leaders said in a statement. "Our nations will continue to work constructively together to promote the success of the Copenhagen climate change conference."

But their statement said only that rich countries would implement their own goals for cutting greenhouse emissions while developing major economies would also take action, without proposing any numbers.

European Commission president Jose Manuel Barroso defended the summit outcome.

"It is quite wrong to see this in terms of a confrontation between developed and developing countries," he said. "Of course we accept the lion's share of responsibility but this is a global challenge which requires a global response."

But the so-called Group of Five -- Brazil, China, India, Mexico and South Africa -- has demanded that rich nations take the lead, saying they were historically responsible for climate change.

"Until there's a change in the decision of the United States, South Africa finds it very difficult for the G5 to move forward," South African Environment Minister Marthinus Van Schalkwyk told reporters.

Kim Carstensen, head of the WWF environmental group's Global Climate Initiative, accused rich nations of trying to stall action by putting the onus on developing countries.

"Some rich nations get lost in tactics and seem to forget that the survival of people and nature crucially depends on their leadership," he said.

The United States is the only major industrial country to reject the Kyoto Protocol, the current climate change treaty, with Bush arguing that it is unfair as it makes no demands of fast-growing emerging economies.

Leaders also made time to address the crisis in Zimbabwe, where President Robert Mugabe won a violence-marred election after his chief rival dropped out.

The summit "made it clear we would impose new sanctions against an illegitimate regime that has blood on its hands," Brown said, rallying world support for UN sanctions on Harare.

Next year's G8 summit will be held on the Italian island of Sardinia where emerging nations will again be invited to join the dialogue.


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Old 11-07-2008, 01:16 AM   #34 (permalink)
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Default Re: oil prices

another perspective on the prices from the supply side


Quote:
What is behind the ever-increasing price of crude oil? Most economists and energy experts argue that even the current sky-high price is justified by fundamentals, namely the high growth in demand by emerging markets, in short "China". The one important fact usually adduced to support this position is that supply and demand seem finely balanced as inventories are not increasing.

But this argument is wrong. The observation that inventories are not increasing is irrelevant since there is a very convenient way to store oil that is not measured by inventories data: just leave it in the ground!

Many experts also stress the observation that, in spite of very high prices, production has not really increased (last year, for example, saw an increase of only 1 per cent). However, this argument, like the one about inventories, is wrong because it does not take into account the nature of oil as an exhaustible resource.

The big choice for any owner of an ex*haustible resource, such as King Ab*dullah of Saudi Arabia, is only inter-temporal: extract today or extract to*morrow. If the king extracts today, he gets today's price (minus the extraction cost). If he extracts tomorrow, he will get tomorrow's price (minus the same extraction costs), discounted at today's interest rate. The supply of oil today will thus increase only if tomorrow's price is low relative to the price today.

In other words, the supply of oil will increase not when the price today is high, but only if suppliers expect that prices will be lower in future. This implies that China influences oil prices today not so much because Chinese demand is high today (China currently accounts for less than 10 per cent of global consumption of crude), but because demand in China is projected to increase so much in the future, fuelling expectations of higher prices and thus leading producers to lower their rate of extraction today. In this light, it is no mystery that oil supply has not reacted to higher prices. Rational oil producers are just waiting for even higher prices tomorrow.

Another factor limiting oil supply today (and thus driving up prices) is that the return to oil producers from the dollars they would earn from increasing production has over the past year been greatly reduced by the US Federal Reserve. American interest rates are now negative in real terms. It is thus rational for oil producers to limit their accumulation of rapidly depreciating dollars by limiting the rate at which they extract oil. High oil prices are therefore at least partially a consequence of an expansionary monetary policy in the US.

When it comes to oil prices, and how much oil is produced today, it might be best to listen less to traders on commodity markets and more to the suppliers. King Abdullah has recently been quoted as saying that if additional oil were to be found in his country, he would advise leaving it in the ground because "with the grace of God our children might have a better use of it".

This suggests that suppliers have the impression that it is better for them to delay extraction.

The expectation that prices can only go up (and the fact that the return on capital remains low) is the real culprit, not the trading among speculators who are simply betting against each other so that one side's gain is the other side's loss. Regulating oil derivative markets might affect the amount of "speculative" trading, but it will not induce oil producers to increase extraction.

If speculators are not to blame, does it follow that there is no bubble in the oil market? Not necessarily. A bubble starts when past price increases lead to expectations of future price increases. It could very well be that prices will not increase as much as expected if China's future demand for oil is lower than expected today, or if alternative energy supply sources become as cheap as some suggest.

Sky-high oil prices are likely to lead over time to a massive substitution away from oil, even in China. This is what happened after the first two oil shocks. But it will take years for this scenario to materialise.

In the meantime, the best explanation of oil prices is neither "bubble" nor "China", but a "China bubble" – in the sense that speculators and oil producers are gambling on China's sustaining high prices for ever.





Source:
Daniel Gros
The writer is director of the Centre for European Policy Studies in Brussels




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Old 14-07-2008, 01:03 AM   #35 (permalink)
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Default Re: oil prices

Russia addresses the supply problems over production rates

Quote:
Russian Prime Minister Vladimir Putin has expressed concern over the country's declining oil production, saying the sector is at a "critical juncture".

Putin also said, however, that Russia will not engage in "economic egoism" and will continue to fulfil export contracts even as it meets the energy needs of its own growing economy.

"The prospects are good but some tendencies worry us. The rate of growth of production has gone down ... In the first quarter of this year, production even declined 0.3 per cent," Putin told ministers and oil executives.

"The oil sector has reached a critical juncture," Putin said after visiting the Sevmash shipyard in Severodvinsk where Russia's first Arctic oil rig is under construction.

He said tax cuts approved this year have already given oil companies more money to spend on development and added that the government is considering additional tax breaks for companies operating in oil-rich regions of Siberia.

The government will also ease bureaucracy for companies opening new oil fields and develop infrastructure in remote areas to encourage investment.

"Our energy policy will be clear, transparent, liberal. We do not plan any economic egoism. We will take into account the legitimate interests of our partners but we will also defend our national interests," he added.

"We have no doubt that now, in the medium-term and in the long-term, we will completely cover the growing demand of the Russian economy and fulfil our obligations to our foreign partners," he continued.

Russia is the world's second largest producer of oil after Saudi Arabia, but the country has struggled to boost production to meet growing global demand despite record-high oil prices.



Source: AAP



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Old 20-07-2008, 02:36 PM   #36 (permalink)
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Question Re: oil prices

the oil prices had went down recently...
s it a rebound...
or it s the calm b4 the storm????

anyone like to share more????


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Old 24-07-2008, 02:28 AM   #37 (permalink)
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Cool Re: oil prices

Stocks mostly rise following drop in oil prices

Wednesday, July 23, 2008 119 PM
By TIM PARADIS


Stocks were mostly higher Wednesday as another decline in oil prices and several upbeat profit reports eased some of Wall Street's concerns about the economy.

Investors believe that a sustained easing of oil prices could give a crucial boost to the economy. Crude has retreated as Hurricane Dolly looked likely to spare key oil installations in the Gulf of Mexico and after the government reported Wednesday that domestic inventories increased last week as consumers curbed their energy use. But oil came off its lows -- and stocks pared their gains -- after the hurricane strengthened to a Category 2 storm.

Still, oil is down more than $20 since hitting a record above $147 just weeks ago. A barrel of light, sweet crude fell $1.41 to $127.01 on New York Mercantile Exchange.

While oil again tugged at stocks as it has for months, investors also examined a raft of earnings reports that indicated not all corporate profits were suffering because of the slower economy. That left some investors more upbeat about the prospects for the overall economy. AT&T Inc., McDonald's Corp. and Pfizer Inc., all among the 30 stocks that make up the Dow Jones industrial average, weighed in with reports that generally pleased investors.

"Oil is a positive but I think bigger than that is the earnings news is not as catastrophic as people were thinking," said Noman Ali, portfolio manager of U.S. equities for MFC Global Investment Management in Toronto. "Some of the bellwethers are reporting earnings that are better-than-expected. And outside of the financials things, aren't so bad."

In early afternoon trading, the Dow fell 2.12, or 0.02 percent, to 11,600.38 after rising nearly 100 points in the early going. On Tuesday, the blue chips gained 135 points.

Broader stock indicators advanced. The Standard & Poor's 500 index rose 3.82, or 0.30 percent, to 1,280.82 and the technology-laden Nasdaq composite index rose 7.11, or 0.31 percent, to 2,311.07.

Advancing issues outnumbered decliners by about 3 to 2 on the New York Stock Exc